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Louisville Home Sales slow for December 2009

by Bob Sokoler

By the Numbers

New Home Sales numbers in the Louisville Kentucky area for December 2009 appear to have fallen. I say “appear”, because there are several reporting sources and updates may still come in. The numbers show that Home Sales for December 2009 were off 5.31% from a poor December 2008. To make matters worse, the December 2009 sales were actually better than they should have been. Remember that some of the closings in December were actually delayed from November 2009 because some mortgage companies (specifically their underwriters) dragged their feet approving home buyer’s loans and some appraisers slowed their pace to the speed of a snail.

The Big Picture

Up until December 2009, the picture looked rosy. Louisville Real Estate Sales started to climb steadily in June.  Thanks to the $8000 first time home buyer’s tax credit, a new home construction tax credit and low interest rates we could say with confidence that the home sales recovery was well underway in Louisville Kentucky.  As the deadline for the first time home buyers tax credit approached in November, home sales were actually brick. November Home Sales were actually up 57.16% (by one reporting services account) over November 2008.

What Happened

Even though our lawmakers extended the $8000 first time home buyers tax credit and added an additional $6500 tax credit for home owners (living in their current home 5 years) who wanted to move, sales in December fell flat. The urgency to buy and close before the original tax deadline was gone. The need to take advantage of the free money from Uncle Sam could be put on the back burner for the time being.

2010 looks ripe for a comeback

Our phones are ringing at the Medley Sokoler team office with requests to see properties; our websites are humming away with buyers looking for a good deal. Those are 2 good indicators that 2010 could end up being a recovery year for the real estate Industry in Louisville. Some new home builders we work with are starting new construction and interest rates are staying stable (at least as of this New Year’s Day writing) more good news for the housing industry. We also expect to see a lot more homes coming onto the market as sellers regain confidence in the market.

A word of caution to all would-be sellers

 Make sure your home has been staged properly and repairs have been made, make sure your realtor has done a through competitive market analysis (CMA) to determine an accurate price. Appraisers are watching prices closer than ever before; buyers are shopping longer and taking more time than ever to find the best home in the best condition with the best price. Only the most competitive homes will sell and only the correctly priced homes will pass the scrutiny of the appraiser.

 

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY

JUN

JUL

AUG

SEP

OCT

NOV

DEC

Comp 2009 S:

552

639

832

911

1032

1285

1309

1153

1204

1219

1097

748

Ref 2008 S:

752

899

1033

1067

1232

1230

1248

1162

1108

976

698

790

% Change S:

-26.59%

-28.92%

-19.45%

-14.62%

-16.23%

4.47%

4.88%

-0.77%

8.66%

24.89%

57.16%

-5.31%

November 2009 Louisville Home Sales Through The Roof

by Bob Sokoler

Spurred on by the $8000 first time home buyers tax credit, Louisville home sales jumped by a whopping 40 Percent in November when compared to a November 2008! Many of the sales were in the $100,000 to $200,000 price range, the target of first time buyers.  Sellers of those homes moved up as homes in the $200,000 to $300,000 price point also did well.

Not All The News Is Good 

Homes going under contract slowed during the month of November as the original 1st time home buyers tax credit deadline neared. Early in November the tax credit was extended to the end of April 2010 (to be under contract) and the end of June 2010 (to be closed). The extension took the pressure off buyers and the search for homes by first time  buyers slowed.  Officially the number of homes going under contract was up 11% in November over November of the year before.


Looking Forward To December 

Because of tighter mortgage requirements and slower appraisals of homes, sales in December should be better than expected. Those two factors delayed closings that were supposed to have occurred in November. The slowdown will help boost December 2009 numbers and give a false sense of recovery. Unless we see more buyers come into the market during December and January, Home sale figures for the beginning of 2010 could fall far short of hopes and expectations.

Other Tax Credits

The local and National media have done little to promote the brand new $6500 tax credit for home owners who have owned their home for 5 years or more and buy their next home. Additionally we’re seen little publicity surrounding the $5000 new construction tax credit in Kentucky. 

For more information head to www.weselllouisville.com.

 

November 2009


Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 805

Last month: 1232

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 1110

Last month: 1210

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $158,208

Last month: $162,899

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 83

Last month: 84

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

132,275

 

November 2008

Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 724

Last month: 777

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 662

Last month: 957

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $155,970

Last month: $152,206

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 82

Last month: 76

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

124,000

 

  

AREA

SALES

TOTAL $

AVG PRICE

MEDIAN

% OF LIST

AVG DOM

HOMES FOR SALE

00 (Central Downtown District/Old Louisville)

6

$1,716,000

$286,000

$107,500

95.91%

184

124

01 (Dtown/Old Louisville/Shively/West Lou)

61

$3,639,821

$59,669

$43,501

93.21%

71

844

02 (Butchertwn/Highlands/Germantwn)

79

$14,115,955

$178,683

$140,000

94.90%

54

491

03 (Clifton/Crescent Hill/St Matthews)

52

$10,301,650

$198,109

$177,475

94.91%

80

448

04 (Pleasure Ridge/Valley Station/Shively)

86

$9,142,523

$106,308

$102,338

97.35%

66

409

05 (Auburndale/Fairdale/Iroquois Prk/Shively)

82

$9,808,939

$119,621

$109,950

97.39%

97

530

06 (Buechel/Highview/Okolona/FernCreek)

126

$15,600,121

$123,810

$123,513

97.84%

76

901

07 (FernCreek/Hikes Point/Jeffersontown)

129

$21,212,072

$164,435

$145,000

98.82%

72

688

08 (DglasHls/Hurstbrn/Mdltwn/Anchrg/StMatt)

76

$18,235,274

$239,938

$219,950

94.78%

88

717

09 (Anchrg/Glenview/Lyndn/Prospect)

99

$24,191,988

$244,364

$185,000

93.77%

91

713

10 (Nelson Co)

28

$3,939,400

$140,693

$114,900

90.65%

133

295

11 (Bullitt Co)

67

$9,473,379

$141,394

$128,400

96.04%

84

599

12 (Other Counties)

23

$2,159,562

$93,894

$103,000

94.99%

49

221

13 (Indiana)

7

$918,510

$131,216

$119,000

95.89%

84

53

14 (Other States)

0

$0

$0

$0

0.00%

0

0

15 (Carroll Co)

6

$485,500

$80,917

$84,000

86.93%

113

68

16 (Hardin Co)

35

$4,514,167

$128,976

$117,117

97.57%

68

278

17 (Hart/LaRue Counties)

5

$519,500

$103,900

$110,000

94.87%

48

42

18 (Washington/Marion Counties)

0

$0

$0

$0

0.00%

0

16

19 (Spencer Co)

11

$1,801,442

$163,767

$150,000

97.44%

92

163

20 (Oldham Co N-I71)

35

$9,925,987

$283,600

$228,000

95.02%

127

365

21 (Oldham Co S-I71)

24

$4,868,120

$202,838

$192,000

96.81%

106

298

29 (Henry Co)

8

$489,400

$61,175

$36,250

95.89%

90

148

30 (Shelby Co)

41

$5,878,924

$143,388

$135,000

95.86%

96

447

31 (Meade Co)

20

$2,361,147

$118,057

$129,700

99.08%

83

127

34 (Trimble Co)

4

$312,000

$78,000

$61,000

94.98%

241

56

Total

1110

$175,611,381

$158,208

$132,138

96%

83

9041

 

Yellow Pages for USA and Canada

Are those Cable TV So-Called Business experts crazy?

by Bob Sokoler

Have you heard some of these so-called business experts on cable TV who say the $8000 first time home buyers tax credit has done nothing to help home sales or the economy? To them I simply ask what rock are you living under?

New Louisville Kentucky home sales figures for the month October tell a very positive story. The number of homes sold in October 2009 was up 21 % over same time in 2008. Homes going under contract in October 2009 were up 37 % over the year before.  Now you cable-TV business experts, please read the following sentence carefully, the majority of the homes that are selling are in the price range of first time buyers. Get it? No? Read the raw data below, the numbers tell the story.

For the rest of us tracking home sales, it’s pretty obvious that the $8000 tax rebate has helped home sales and the economy. Especially when you consider that many of the home buyers spend the tax credit money on fixing up the new house, buying new furniture and TV’s and more. Now the government is about to expand the credit. That could go a long way to helping our economy over the slower winter home sales months. The numbers for October 2009 also show that the average selling price of homes in our area was up about ten thousand dollars from the year before. The bad news is that the time it takes to sell a home was up.

Still the overall trend is good and may continue if our lawmakers read the numbers and keep their TV’s tuned to anything other than those self proclaimed Cable TV business experts!

 October 2009


Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 1232

Last month: 1215

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 1210

Last month: 1160

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $162,899

Last month: $150,903

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 84

Last month: 86

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

133,500

 

October 2008


Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 777

Last month: 931

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 957

Last month: 1012

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $152,206

Last month: $157,570

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 76

Last month: 85

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

130,000

 

 

 

 

TOTALS REPORTS
SOLD/ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL LISTINGS
01-Oct-2009 - 31-Oct-2009

                     Residential Unit Sales        Total   Unit Sales

                      0-2        3         4+      Resid     Condo/    Total

 PRICE CLASS/TYPE    Bedrm     Bedrm     Bedrm     Sales     Co-Op     Units


 

 $29,999 OR UNDER      27        17         6        50         2        52

 $30,000 -  $39,999     8         9         5        22         2        24

 $40,000 -  $49,999     7        15         2        24         0        24

 $50,000 -  $59,999     1         8         1        10         4        14

 $60,000 -  $69,999     8        14         3        25         4        29

 $70,000 -  $79,999     5        18         4        27         4        31

 $80,000 -  $89,999    14        37         5        56        11        67

 $90,000 -  $99,999    11        46         5        62        12        74

$100,000 - $119,999    17       102        19       138        39       177

$120,000 - $139,999    10       102        23       135        19       154

$140,000 - $159,999     6        80        17       103        16       119

$160,000 - $179,999     8        54        28        90         9        99

$180,000 - $199,999     3        28        25        56         8        64

$200,000 - $249,999     2        57        46       105         4       109

$250,000 - $299,999     2        21        38        61         5        66

$300,000 - $399,999     1         7        45        53         8        61

$400,000 - $499,999     0         1        15        16         1        17

$500,000 OR OVER        0         3        23        26         3        29

Total Types:          130       619       310      1059       151      1210

 

Average Price:     $88,376  $137,523  $250,036  $164,425  $152,193  $162,899

 

Median Price:     $126,500  $126,500  $212,500  $135,500  $118,000  $133,250

 

Average DOM:        66.72     77.72     88.32     79.47     117.5     84.22

 

Average CDOM:        87.7    118.58    150.94    124.26    195.28    133.13

Louisville picked as a top 10 City for Real Estate Recovery!

by Bob Sokoler

Great news for Louisville Home owners and anyone looking to buy Louisville Real Estate. A new report published today by U.S. News and World report picks Louisville Kentucky as one of the “10 Cities primed for a Real Estate Recovery”!  The article sites the fact Louisville’s real estate market never saw double digit appreciation so there was less room for Louisville Home prices to fall. On a negative note the article points to the recent Ford Motor plant layoffs and cutback in manufacturing. But also points to the recent UPS expansion and attendance at job fairs has been on the decline. Louisville was included in the “10 Cities primed for a Real Estate Recovery “article along side cities like Birmingham Alabama,  Philadelphia Pennsylvania and  Portland Oregon. Our Medley Sokoler team has been very busy the past couple of days with 5 contracts accepted in 4 days. As of this writing, the $8000 first time home buyers tax credit will end at the end of November, so first time buyers should be looking for a home now. To contact the Medley Sokoler Team call (502) 376-5483 or head to www.weselllouisville.com or www.louisvillehomestoday.com.

Louisville Home Sales Skyrocket July 2009!

by Bob Sokoler

It’s the home sale version of the cash for clunkers car rebate!  Louisville area home sales for the month of July jumped through the roof in July of 2009. Our area saw a 21% increase in home sales from July 2008 but were still 13% below the levels of July 2007 (before the housing market tanked).

 Another great sign that the Louisville housing market is going in the right direction, homes going under contract in July 2009 compared to the year before were up 32%.

The peak performing home prices were in the 100,000- 160,000 and 200,000-250,000 price ranges. Clearly the $8000 first time home buyers tax credit and lower interest rates played a major part in the homes sales increase and at the same time the people living in those entry levels homes were able to buy their next home which would typically be in the 200,000-250,000 price point.

The numbers show that the tax credit is a winner and along with the success from the cash for clunkers car traded-in program that was extended again this past Friday, our government should realize that extending and expanding the home buyer tax credit program would go a long way to moving the housing market and economy into the recovered category!  

For more information about The Medley Sokoler Team, head to www.weselllouisville.com

   

July 2009 


Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 1284

Last month: 1331

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 1276

Last month: 1175

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $171,793

Last month: $166,038

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 89

Last month: 84

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

140,000

 July 2008

Number of Houses Under Contract

This month: 998

Last month: 932

This month last year: 0


Number of Houses Sold & Closed

This month: 1015

Last month: 1191

This month last year: 0

 


Average Selling Price

This month: $173,521

Last month: $182,971

This month last year: $0


Average Days on Market

This month: 92

Last month: 88

This month last year: 0


Median Sales Price

141,000

$8000 Tax Credit Moves 1st Time Buyers!

by Bob Sokoler

Linda is about to move into her new Louisville home! We closed on it yesterday and because she’s a first time buyer, Linda is now able to get back $8000 on her taxes. She can amended her 2008 tax return and get it back within a couple of months or wait until next year and file the tax credit with her 2009 taxes. Either way Linda is off to a great start and the Medley Sokoler team was glad to be a part of it. We wish Linda the very best and we’ll always be here for her. For more information on The Medley Sokoler team and Louisville Real Estate, call 502-376-5483 or visit one of our websites: www.weselllouisville.com or www.louisvillehomestoday.com .

Two new Louisville Homeowners!

by Bob Sokoler

Greg and Erin are 2 of Louisville’s newest homeowners. In addition to buying a great home, the couple will also get back $8,000 thanks to the 1st time buyer’s tax credit from the federal government. We always wonder how our team does. From looking, to negotiating to closing we what our clients to be happy with the louisville real estate they purchase! Greg and Erin were free to say anything they want about the Medley Sokoler team. For more information about us head to www.weselllouisville.com

Displaying blog entries 1-7 of 7

Contact Information

Photo of The Sokoler Team Real Estate
The Sokoler Team
RE/MAX Properties East
10525 Timberwood Circle Suite 100
Louisville KY 40223
502-376-5483
502 992-4137
Fax: 502-719-8152